• Policy
    • FAQ JLUdocs
    • FAQ JLUdata
    • Publishing in JLUdocs
    • Publishing in JLUdata
    • Publishing Contract
    • English
    • Deutsch
View Item 
  •   JLUpub Home
  • JLUdocs
  • Zeitschriften
  • FB 02 - Wirtschaftswissenschaften
  • Rationality, markets, and morals: RMM
  • Rationality, markets, and morals: RMM Band 2 (2011)
  • View Item
  •   JLUpub Home
  • JLUdocs
  • Zeitschriften
  • FB 02 - Wirtschaftswissenschaften
  • Rationality, markets, and morals: RMM
  • Rationality, markets, and morals: RMM Band 2 (2011)
  • View Item
  • Info
    • Policy
    • FAQ JLUdocs
    • FAQ JLUdata
    • Publishing in JLUdocs
    • Publishing in JLUdata
    • Publishing Contract
  • English 
    • English
    • Deutsch
  • Login
JavaScript is disabled for your browser. Some features of this site may not work without it.

Foundational Issues in Statistical Modeling: Statistical Model Specification and Validation

Thumbnail
Files in this item
02_Article_Spanos.pdf (1.228Mb)
Date
2011
Author
Spanos, Aris
Metadata
Show full item record
BibTeX Export
Quotable link
http://dx.doi.org/10.22029/jlupub-379
Abstract

Statistical model specification and validation raise crucial foundational problems whose pertinent resolution holds the key to learning from data by securing the reliability of frequentist inference. The paper questions the judiciousness of several current practices, including the theory-driven approach, and the Akaike-type model selection ... procedures, arguing that they often lead to unreliable inferences. This is primarily due to the fact that goodness-of-fit/prediction measures and other substantive and pragmatic criteria are of questionable value when the estimated model is statistically misspecified. Foisting one's favorite model on the data often yields estimated models which are both statistically and substantively misspecified, but one has no way to delineate between the two sources of error and apportion blame. The paper argues that the error statistical approach can address this Duhemian ambiguity by distinguishing between statistical and substantive premises and viewing empirical modeling in a piecemeal way with a view to delineate the various issues more effectively. It is also argued that Hendry's general to specific procedures does a much better job in model selection than the theory-driven and the Akaike-type procedures primary because of its error statistical underpinnings.

Original publication in

Rationality, markets, and morals: RMM 2 (2011), 146-178

Collections
  • Rationality, markets, and morals: RMM Band 2 (2011)

Contact Us | Impressum | Privacy Policy | OAI-PMH
 

 

Browse

All of JLUpubCommunities & CollectionsOrganisational UnitDDC-ClassificationPublication TypeAuthorsBy Issue DateThis CollectionOrganisational UnitDDC-ClassificationPublication TypeAuthorsBy Issue Date

My Account

LoginRegister

Statistics

View Usage Statistics

Contact Us | Impressum | Privacy Policy | OAI-PMH