The association between gout and subsequent cardiovascular events: a retrospective cohort study with 132,000 using propensity score matching in primary care outpatients in Germany

Abstract

Background: Both the risk of developing heart disease and the course of the disease are determined in particular by comorbidities. In this context, gout has recently been identified as an important factor in influencing the development of cardiovascular events such as heart failure or coronary artery disease. Methods: This retrospective cohort study compared the incidence of angina pectoris (AP) (ICD-10: I20), myocardial infarction (MI) (ICD-10: I21, I22), chronic coronary heart disease (CHD) (ICD-10: I25), atrial fibrillation (AF), and heart failure (HF) as a function of gout in Germany in a large collective of 66,000 gout patients in comparison to 66,000 individuals without gout between using propensity score matching (1:1) from January 2005 to December 2020. Results: Within 10 years after the index date, AP was diagnosed in 5.2% of gout and 2.9% of non-gout patients (p < 0.001), MI in 3.1% of gout and 2.2% of non-gout patients (p < 0.001), CHD in 16.5% of gout and 11.8% of non-gout patients, AF in 12.6% of gout and 8.4% of non-gout patients (p < 0.001), and HF in 14.7% of gout and 8.5% of non-gout patients (p < 0.001). For all diagnoses except CHD, the association was stronger in male than in female patients. Conclusion: The relationship shown between gout and cardiovascular disease indicates that gout could be one of a series of inflammatory conditions that increase the risk of cardiac disease. The association we have shown between gout and all major cardiac diseases suggests that there is a risk modifier, the treatment of which could help prevent these diseases. Further research is needed to determine whether treating gout can effectively reduce this risk.